Trump threatens to blockade Hormuz. Iran fires back: touch Hormuz and we take the Bab el-Mandeb and shut down the Red Sea too. Hormuz already controls 20% of global oil flow. Bab el-Mandeb handles another 12%. You do the math: a 32% shortfall in global energy supply, simultaneously, because one guy rage-posted a blockade order. Iran is not bluffing here. They've been quietly positioning for exactly this scenario while Trump's been golfing between geopolitical tantrums. This is what happens when foreign policy is run by someone who learned negotiation from reality TV.