US intelligence is landing cold water on the regime-change fantasy driving this whole war. • A "multitude" of reports give "consistent analysis that the regime is not in danger" of collapse • Iran "retains control of the Iranian public" • Israeli officials privately admit there is "no certainty" the war topples the government • The situation on the ground: "fluid" So the entire justification for bombing Iran is evaporating in real time, and oil prices are spiking. Great war, guys.